Cash Is King
Markets remain risky. The situation from earlier this year has changed. Since the war in Iran began, the only safe havens have been energy and cash.
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Risk Reduction
The UK 10-year bond yield has made a new high, above the level last seen in 2008. This is happening around the world, but is most profoundly felt by the UK.
Risk Reduction
Spot oil, the price today, is rising sharply, and the greater concern is that future oil prices, what you pay for oil delivery next year, are also rising.
What Happened in 1974?
The energy crisis began when Arab oil-producing nations imposed an embargo on countries supporting Israel during this war.
Flash Note
Oil is back above $100, despite the US strategic reserve being unleashed.
Risk Reduction
The dead cat bounce in the stockmarket is unconvincing despite the sharp fall in the oil price.