Disclaimer: Your capital is at risk. This is not investment advice.
Despite reliable indicators warning of a looming US recession, historical data suggests they can be early. In election years, a resilient trend typically endures until late November, influencing our model's inclination to remain invested in risk assets.
Most equity markets, albeit expensive, remain in strong upward trends. A minor correction is possible, but a complete cessation of these trends anytime soon seems unlikely. Our model recommends owning global equities, the USA, India, and Quality equities. Avoid the China equity market, high quality bonds and most commodities. The market price has the correct answer.