Venture · · 2 min read

Venture: Market Update

Issue 154;

The rotation is now firmly underway. The Nasdaq is down 14% over the past month, which amounts to a loss of around $6 trillion. The midterm election rally is hard to spot.

Nasdaq Futures

Source: Bloomberg

In my humble opinion, the crash in oil had had a greater impact on the market than the election result, but perhaps they are connected. Commentators attribute the Democrat sweep to the war in Iran, and that has made the expected invasion less likely. Brent crude has retreated to its 200-day moving average.

Brent Crude

Source: Bloomberg

The oil crash has been quick, but it remains in an uptrend, and the supply disruptions and spent inventories haven’t gone away.

Venture is issued by ByteTree Asset Management Ltd, an appointed representative of Strata Global which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. ByteTree Asset Management is a wholly owned subsidiary of ByteTree Group Ltd.

General - Your capital is at risk when you invest, never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance and forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results. Bid/offer spreads, commissions, fees and other charges can reduce returns from investments. There is no guarantee dividends will be paid. Overseas shares - Some recommendations may be denominated in a currency other than sterling. The return from these may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations. Any dividends will be taxed at source in the country of issue.

Funds - Fund performance relies on the performance of the underlying investments, and there is counterparty default risk which could result in a loss not represented by the underlying investment. Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) with derivative exposure (leveraged or inverted ETFs) are highly speculative and are not suitable for risk-averse investors.

Bonds - Investing in bonds carries interest rate risk. A bondholder has committed to receiving a fixed rate of return for a fixed period. If the market interest rate rises from the date of the bond's purchase, the bond's price will fall. There is also the risk that the bond issuer could default on their obligations to pay interest as scheduled, or to repay capital at the maturity of the bond.

Taxation - Profits from investments, and any profits from converting cryptocurrency back into fiat currency is subject to capital gains tax. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances and may be subject to change.

Investment Director: Charlie Morris. Editors or contributors may have an interest in recommendations. Information and opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of other editors/contributors of ByteTree Group Ltd. ByteTree Asset Management (FRN 933150) is an Appointed Representative of Strata Global Ltd (FRN 563834), which is regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

© 2026 ByteTree Group Ltd

Read next

Venture: Update
Venture · Pro tier

Venture: Update

The Brazilian market reacted badly to the recent election, but it has still done well over the past two years. It still looks positive over the longer term.