Venture · · 5 min read

Issue 135;

Brent crude (black) has been strong as hostilities in the Iran War escalate. Most commodities are doing well at present, with the notable exception of precious metals. In my opinion, the metals are most likely in a correction within a super-strong bull market. Grains are interesting given their low prices and historical sensitivity to rising energy prices.

Commodity Prices

Source: Bloomberg

Currently, it’s all about the energy mix. In contrast to the war in Ukraine, natural gas prices (green) have remained low while heavier fuels, such as gasoline (blue) and heating oil (black), have remained elevated. This is down to the Middle East supplying the world with heavier fuel grades.

Heating oil is a heavy product, similar to diesel and jet fuel, where the market is tight.

Oil Products – Past 10 Years

Source: Bloomberg
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